Grading break-even calculator

Estimate the expected value and break-even Grade 10 price for a Pokemon card after grading, shipping, selling fees, and realistic grade probabilities.

Grading profit is not the Grade 10 price minus the grading fee. The raw card has a cost, most submissions do not earn the top grade, selling platforms take a cut, and insured shipping runs both ways. This calculator includes all four.

The expected value uses your Grade 10 and Grade 9 probabilities. Any probability left over is valued at the raw card price, a deliberately simple fallback you can inspect instead of a hidden promise.

Card and grading costsRaw card value now USD, current market value Original acquisition cost USD, used for total profit, not the raw-sale comparison Grading fee USD Grading shipping and insurance USD, round trip to the grader only Graded sale shipping USD, seller-paid final buyer delivery Raw sale shipping USD, seller-paid final buyer delivery Selling fee percent of gross for both sale paths

Grade outcomesGrade 10 market value USD Grade 9 market value USD Chance of Grade 10 percent, including zero Chance of Grade 9 percent

Any remaining probability is valued at the raw market value. Use sold listings, not asking prices. Expected gain versus selling raw excludes the original acquisition cost because that cost is shared by both choices. Break-even Grade 10 value uses total acquisition and grading costs.

Enter your real costs and grade odds, then calculate.

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